The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Results 1983-2019. Every pollster, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. Immediately below is the video of the event. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. 0:03. It is named for the fact that, at the time of its creation, it was centred on Port Melbourne and Williamstown, both major ports. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. 0:36. Visit types: Turnaround visits - bold ship name (T)Partial turnaround (>500 pax) - bold ship name bold (pT)Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. Also the issue for Josh Burns is that most of the population growth is occurring in the west of the seat such as Southbank/Fishermens Bend. Its a nailbiter and is shaping up for all 3 to be over 33% in the 3PP count (would that be the closest 3PP count ever? The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. What they care about is what matters to me. 3483 remaining and they are breaking 25.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 30.8% GRN and 15.6% Other. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. Port Melbourne - at 13 February 2023. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. He has a background in tourism and understands the economic importance of protecting Australia's most important natural assets. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. I find it interesting that the Party and Independents who had stronger positions on tackling climate change gained more seats than Labour, not sure about Dai Le in Fowler, but that was another howler from Labour. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . LIB 30,636 2. 100% agree. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. That is a real possibility if they do well. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Rebuild of State Road 192/Hollywood Boulevard intersection, including Evans Road. Conservatives doing better on postals isnt always the case in progressive seats. You have entered an incorrect email address! Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). 1. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. (Melbourne local time. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Melbourne Ports) Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Asher Cookson Candidate for Aston John Barnes Federal Candidate for Ballarat Matthew Kirwan Federal Candidate for Bruce Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . J.D. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. The Greens have a ridiculously small margin of error for it to not work out for them. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Crossing Hotham Street is where you notice an immediate difference. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. History Melbourne Ports was an original Federation electorate. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. Rachael Bassett andAlison Dietrich are competing for the District 4 seat. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. LIB 29,202 2. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. GRN 28,657. he video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. So lets look at Absent votes first. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. If that happens, they win. If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. I can see the Greens overtaking Labor. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. Florida 2022 elections. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. What are the top two to three issues in West Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. Melbourne: 14 Sep 2022: 162(T)-22: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock Berth 3 East extension project restricted zone chainage extended: 02 May 2022: 408(T)-21: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock . This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. I think this is more important then people think. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Harkin moved into IT, in business development and project management and then started her own small business developing bespoke databases and digital widgets. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. And silver medals can be distr oh wait. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Second Issue: Economic development. Numerous annual continuing-education classes on ethics and city planning classes. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. The city of more than 28,000. But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. (Click on polling place for results). During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. I don't have a top three issues. Eg. 3. Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. "With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out.. However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Within our city, I would work to educate residents within the Melbourne utility system about sewer lines in lieu of harmful additives and broken septic systems. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. . The electorate was created at the time of Australian Federation in 1901 and was one of the original 65 divisions contested at the first federal election. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. Labor will emphatically opposite it. Former Labor members include Bill Maloney 1904-1940, Arthur Calwell 1940-1972, Ted Innes 1972-1983, Gerry Hand 1983-1993 and Lindsay Tanner 1993-2010. 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